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So just how to look at this is the fact whenever we are below twenty% about the X-axis (under twenty% water in the oil), You can find zero over the y-axis (the water will likely not circulation through the rock in the slightest degree). As we get previously mentioned twenty% water saturation, the circulation of h2o raises fast, until finally higher than eighty% water, there isn't a move of oil in any way.
Euan has questioned regardless of whether a rise in h2o Slice like this could have a significant more than enough effect on manufacturing to clarify every one of the declines we see. Allow me to try to generate an estimate on how substantial it could be. We can't do that with any precision through the fractional move curve because we don't have an actual fractional move curve for this part of Ghawar. On the other hand, There may be other facts in Paper #93439 which will allow us estimate this. Especially, the paper incorporates a dialogue of what fraction of production comes from at the rear of the flood entrance, versus in front of the flood entrance.
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